. I'd like to humbly contribute something and see what others think.
Premise: I wanted to study the yield from different industrialization efforts, with a keen interest in War Supplies results.
Simulation: I played 10 turns twice as the South in the July 61 w/Kentucky campaign and tracked the results.
Game 1: Lt. Industrialization each turn in Virginia ($15,000 & 20 War supplies/turn), North Carolina($14,000 and 18 War/turn) and Georgia($18,000 and 22 War/turn).
Total cost: $470,000 and 600 war supplies.
Results: 190 General Supplies, 64 Ammo, 6 War Supplies.
19 times I had a "hit" - meaning a positive result in one of the three supply categories. Only 3 times did a state have 2 results in a single turn.
Game 2: Heavy Indsutrialization each turn in Georgia ($42,000 & 54 War/turn).
Total Cost: $420,000 and 540 War Supplies.
Results: 208 General Supplies, 40 ammo and 12 War Supplies. I had 16 hits. The first 2 turns yielded 0 "hits". However, I then had 1 single hit, 6 double and 1 triple hit.
Analysis: I did this simulation because I realized that it was more cost effective to do three levels of industrialization in one state than to spend light investment across 3 states. Each level of investment in state is cheaper than the previous level. I saved $50,000 and 60 war supplies by concentrating in one state. My results for General supplies are about equal and down a little in Ammo but War Supplies were doubled. For the South those War Supplies are sorely needed.
Implementation: It would seem that it is more prudent to invest heavily in one state as opposed to spreading yourself out. However, I have barely started playing the game. I have no idea if the South can sustain a triple level of investment each turn. I suspect of course they cannot.
Anyhow, I hope this information is useful and I welcome any comments. I will continue on with my first game with a triple level of investment for as long as I can sustain it in the early part of the game. It is currently Oct '61. I have held my own in the west, but McDowell has caputured Wincester and is pressing Jackson hard. Beauregard has down well in N. Virginia and we have recaptured Alexandria.
I'm glad someone could do something like this. Of course, a sample with size n=1 for each case is hardly statistically definitive, but it's something. Good job and good hunting!
